Once the lineups were released, calculating the direction of the bet was validated.  Late on 3/19, I advised my followers that mathematically speaking, the A’s were the bet.  At that time, the A’s bet cost -117 and our preliminary lineups for both teams projected the A’s should be -141.   Since that time, the lineups have revised the As chance of winning to a -139 chance of winning and the bet is now up to -145.

Because we booked the A’s at -117, the A’s bet is the mathematical choice for our 3%.

Screen Shot 2019-03-20 at 3.26.50 AM

 

It should be noted that if the odds at our first view were as they are now, OAK-145, SEA+135, we would have NO BET the game.

There is no bet given those choices that provide a mathematically positive expectation of winning.  Luckily for us, we booked at our bet BEFORE the betting public drove the cost of the ticket to the current levels.

YEA for us.

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Published by Abe Pecota

Las Vegas Sports Better & professional Handicapper

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