Once the lineups were released, calculating the direction of the bet was validated. Late on 3/19, I advised my followers that mathematically speaking, the A’s were the bet. At that time, the A’s bet cost -117 and our preliminary lineups for both teams projected the A’s should be -141. Since that time, the lineups have revised the As chance of winning to a -139 chance of winning and the bet is now up to -145.
Because we booked the A’s at -117, the A’s bet is the mathematical choice for our 3%.
It should be noted that if the odds at our first view were as they are now, OAK-145, SEA+135, we would have NO BET the game.
There is no bet given those choices that provide a mathematically positive expectation of winning. Luckily for us, we booked at our bet BEFORE the betting public drove the cost of the ticket to the current levels.
YEA for us.
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