Don’t tell me the game isn’t played on a spreadsheet

56% of money line favorites win their games.

Which also means that 44% of underdogs win their games.

A 44% chance of winning is a +127 money line.

Why not just bet on under dogs who have odds at that pay +127 or higher?

Because it’s a sure way to lose your money?

There is more to the math than this.  If you can’t figure out why this is true, pay someone to make your picks that can figure it out.

Don’t tell me this game isn’t played on a spreadsheet.

Offensive WAR

There’s a surprise in the Top 10 WAR for offense this season, based on projected opening day rosters.  See if you can pick out the surprise team.

  1.  BOSTON   33 WAR
  2. HOUSTON 32WAR
  3. LA ANGELS  30 WAR
  4. CHI CUBS  30 WAR
  5. NY YANKEES  29 WAR
  6. ST LOUIS 29 WAR
  7. LA DODGERS 29 WAR
  8. PHILADELPHIA 28 WAR
  9. ATLANTA  26 WAR
  10. WASHINGTON 26 WAR